Last year I published parallel articles on Kent and Medway allocations for 2014 admission.
Kent Allocations
Nationally, there is concern about the number of school places being created, and in Kent we should certainly have seen at least a further 250 places (one large new school) being provided this year and every year to keep pace with the increase in the school population. Some schools will have expanded to meet demand, but this appears to be happening mainly in the grammar school sector, with Queen Elizabeth's in Faversham being the first to break the glass ceiling and add a form of entry in the face of assertions that grammars could not legally be expanded. It has now been followed by Dartford, Dartford Girls, Judd, Sir Roger Manwood’s, Skinners, and Wilmington Boys. An alternative is to see the mantra "every school should be a good school" turned into reality, for some of those 641 children allocated places by KCC will have the nightmare of being offered schools that are unacceptable to them for quite understandable reasons. In total, there are around a thousand empty spaces across Kent's secondary schools. Other families will now look more closely at schools they have not or would not initially consider and find they are not so bad after all.
This year, the schools with the highest number of first choices, over and above the capacity of the school: are Dartford Grammar (179); St George's, Broadstairs (129); Valley Park, Maidstone (118); Dartford Girls (106); Skinners, Tunbridge Wells (100); Fulston Manor, Sittingbourne (95); and King Ethelbert, Birchington (80).
So what next? If you are not awarded the school of your choice, then certainly go on the waiting list for every school you have applied for and wish to consider. You have the right to appeal to any and every school for which you have been turned down although these figures suggest that appeal numbers will rise, whereas the number of successes will not. Grammar school appeals will rise sharply in numbers as the new Kent Test has produced outcomes with a much larger proportion of children appearing to have missed the pass mark narrowly, although there are unlikely to be more successes because of pressure on space. You also have the option of making a late application for a fresh school, called an In Year Application after April 24th. You can apply for as many schools as you wish through this process. Every year we see a considerable ‘churning’ effect as children take up places off the waiting lists, as children win appeals at higher preferences, and some unhappy families remove themselves from the state system, so don't lose hope.
Kent Secondary School Allocations: March 2015 | ||||||||
Kent pupils | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | ||||
No. of
Pupils
|
%
|
No.of
Pupils
|
%
|
No.of
Pupils
|
%
|
No.of
Pupils
|
%
|
|
Offered a first preference | 12,796 | 80.5% | 13,092 | 83.6 | 12,754 | 84.2% | 12,613 | 82.8% |
Offered a second preference | 1,612 | 10.1% | 1,512 | 9.6% | 1,456 | 9.6% | 1,481 | 9.7% |
Offered a third preference | 478 | 3.1% | 478 | 3.1% | 448 | 3.0% | 505 | 3.3% |
Offered a fourth preference | 181 | 1.1% | 181 | 1.2% | 129 | 0.9% | 183 | 1.2% |
Allocated by Local Authority | 641 | 4.03% | 404 | 2.6% | 357 | 2.3% | 443 | 2.9% |
Total number of Kent pupils offered | 15894 | 15,667 | 15144 | 15,225 |
Out of County Applicants to Kent Secondary Schools 2015 | ||||
Year | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
Out of county applicants | 2,299 | 1,991 | 1,760 | 1792 |
Offers to out of county pupils at Kent schools | 757 | 602 | 589 | 560 |
Size of Kent Year 6 Cohort | |||
Year | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
Total number of pupils
in the cohort
|
18,193
|
17,658 | 16,904 |
As can be seen from the above table, about 200 Kent children of the age group do not apply for state school places.
Super Selective Scores
I now have the cut off scores in the Kent Test for Judd - 371, and Skinners - 364. Both are higher than I anticipated. As the Kent Test marks are more spread out than in previous years, I anticipate (!) that these bars will fall faster than in previous years, but remember for the last two years neither school has seen more than five successful appeals, so do not hold your breath! Tonbridge Grammar School adopts a split offer, with girls in the "inner" area of West Kent being required to gain 356 (80% of the total intake), anywhere else, 375 (to select the remaining 20% of girls). For Dartford Girls, the cut off for out of area girls was 370 and for Dartford Grammar it was 369.
Rochester Grammar School has a cut off of 535 in the Medway Test (this uses a different scale of marking to Kent). Last year, it went right down to the pass mark, so there will be a number of disappointed girls; however, historically, this level falls quite sharply with some girls opting for private schools instead. For Rainham Mark Grammar the cut off is 530. Both of these schools have added an additional class of 30 children to their intake, so I suspect that once again, winning an appeal will be quite difficult, although it is certainly worth going on the waiting list if your child has passed the Medway Test.
Medway Allocations
Medway’s position is tighter than Kent with regard to empty spaces, with just 192 being vacant in spite of 100 additional spaces being added into schools.
The increase of 111 in the number of Medway children offered places confirms the sharp decline in numbers to 2013 is well and truly over.
However, the proportion of first preferences met continues its steady decline every year since 2012. Last year Brompton Academy was the most oversubscribed school in Kent and Medway, but this year it accounted for 159 of the 614 rejected first preferences, in spite of adding on an additional class of 30 children and it is apparent that the polarisation of choices, as described above, is playing a considerable role here, as families try and avoid the most unpopular schools, with only Bishop of Rochester having vacancies amongst the non-selective schools, four schools absorbing 164 of the 167 places allocated by Medway Council.
Medway Secondary School Allocations March 2015
|
|||||||
Medway Pupils
|
2015
|
2014
|
2013
|
2012
|
|||
Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | % | |
Offered a first preference | 2499 | 80.7% | 2423 | 81.2% | 2425 | 86.0% | 86.7% |
Offered a place at one of their top
three choices
|
|
|
2813 | 94.3% | 2678 | 95.0% | 97.7% |
Offered a place at one of their six choices | 2940 | 95% | 2865 | 96.0% | 2730 | 96.8% | 98.6% |
Allocated a place by Medway Council | 155 | 5.0% | 120 | 4.0% | 90 | 3.2% | 1.4% |
Total number of Medway
children offered places
|
3095
|
2984
|
|
2820
|
|
2949
|